Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 235.758670 265.859505 299.389363 339.702896 387.113838 441.415464 508.766537
2024-11-03 197.733479 238.878247 288.957338 355.227387 441.880245 553.139683 709.817382
2024-11-10 179.016456 226.265523 287.276947 373.534374 495.199853 665.261038 929.620937
2024-11-17 159.662050 208.694519 274.886593 373.358022 520.824651 741.715351 1114.999994
2024-11-24 141.819699 190.280456 258.024888 362.997453 528.084656 790.118301 1266.060097
2024-12-01 127.818897 175.347188 243.804859 353.710179 534.208804 836.114010 1422.520207
2024-12-08 121.152114 170.071604 242.767514 363.943389 572.466145 941.950359 1716.250286
2024-12-15 113.463407 162.377154 237.002734 365.453068 595.650419 1024.956775 1989.228502
2024-12-22 105.032478 152.707222 227.039732 358.462370 602.226312 1077.352991 2212.100563
2024-12-29 99.171764 146.497420 221.924259 358.986821 622.430004 1160.366096 2533.209412
2025-01-05 92.476345 138.383342 212.873221 351.327316 625.478771 1207.825425 2782.218584
2025-01-12 87.648139 132.915055 207.741867 350.143069 641.108114 1285.907943 3143.097154
2025-01-19 80.413997 123.102946 194.608501 333.017816 622.354633 1283.865847 3282.196892
2025-01-26 78.814268 122.651383 197.795780 347.661064 673.952767 1463.346369 4069.116903
2025-02-02 77.748135 122.989412 202.358280 365.523865 735.988916 1687.269458 5146.773251
2025-02-09 74.283076 118.863286 198.358357 365.347586 756.133563 1804.519792 5908.278085
2025-02-16 69.851715 112.721812 190.095919 355.266124 750.699969 1847.666491 6396.509706
2025-02-23 65.921185 107.239468 182.677993 346.226874 746.522193 1894.072626 6936.280721
2025-03-02 64.533687 106.285902 183.880951 356.186665 792.757263 2111.496973 8482.494985
2025-03-09 62.281493 103.583622 181.432278 357.655837 816.859339 2265.193810 9852.865751
2025-03-16 59.313783 99.365635 175.654413 350.852344 817.176375 2337.531459 10828.241493
2025-03-23 57.305850 96.843526 173.113905 351.362783 838.316973 2492.722437 12518.678898
2025-03-30 54.651057 92.939047 167.477695 343.907393 835.163602 2556.010409 13655.131736